Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.007877 0.008863 0.009940 0.011209 0.012663 0.014284 0.016231
2025-01-05 0.006548 0.007942 0.009601 0.011734 0.014421 0.017716 0.022098
2025-01-12 0.005450 0.006932 0.008795 0.011330 0.014726 0.019171 0.025509
2025-01-19 0.004712 0.006223 0.008206 0.011033 0.015018 0.020518 0.028837
2025-01-26 0.004248 0.005795 0.007903 0.011035 0.015650 0.022335 0.033000
2025-02-02 0.004024 0.005659 0.007966 0.011526 0.017003 0.025314 0.039280
2025-02-09 0.003684 0.005313 0.007683 0.011460 0.017488 0.027010 0.043760
2025-02-16 0.003440 0.005082 0.007536 0.011572 0.018240 0.029189 0.049324
2025-02-23 0.003166 0.004775 0.007240 0.011405 0.018505 0.030573 0.053680
2025-03-02 0.002997 0.004613 0.007151 0.011557 0.019307 0.032953 0.060181
2025-03-09 0.002799 0.004388 0.006937 0.011473 0.019681 0.034601 0.065521
2025-03-16 0.002547 0.004055 0.006517 0.010990 0.019280 0.034767 0.067920
2025-03-23 0.002388 0.003870 0.006341 0.010942 0.019712 0.036638 0.074319
2025-03-30 0.002334 0.003860 0.006466 0.011454 0.021277 0.040962 0.086833
2025-04-06 0.002144 0.003598 0.006125 0.011060 0.021017 0.041536 0.091020
2025-04-13 0.001989 0.003385 0.005854 0.010772 0.020932 0.042459 0.096183
2025-04-20 0.001888 0.003263 0.005738 0.010773 0.021443 0.044732 0.105063
2025-04-27 0.001859 0.003267 0.005856 0.011252 0.023023 0.049622 0.121590
2025-05-04 0.001763 0.003141 0.005716 0.011188 0.023405 0.051792 0.131373
2025-05-11 0.001696 0.003063 0.005662 0.011296 0.024185 0.055026 0.144791
2025-05-18 0.001604 0.002931 0.005490 0.011133 0.024318 0.056675 0.153985
2025-05-25 0.001551 0.002873 0.005462 0.011282 0.025203 0.060364 0.170136
2025-06-01 0.001479 0.002770 0.005336 0.011200 0.025520 0.062614 0.182336